Summer is officially here, and we all know what that means! Summer Blockbusters of course! It seems like superhero movies have been extremely popular in the last 12 years or so and this year is not the exception. Earlier during the summer movie season we witnessed Marvel's The Avengers make an impressive Billion and a half dollars worldwide. Making it the number one comic adaptation movie in terms of total gross and the third movie overall (not adjusted for inflation) just behind Avatar and Titanic. Two other comic book-based movies will battle it out to get your money this summer; "The Amazing Spider-man" versus "The Dark Knight Rises".
Some Interesting Facts about this graph:
- Before The "Avengers" was released and before "The Dark Knight" came out, The "Spider-man" franchise was the absolute boss of comic book franchises, however the 1989 version of "Batman" sits in 8th place just behind the two Iron-man movies. Keep in mind that "Avengers" is only on its 8th weekend and will easily earn another 20-30 million AT LEAST.
- While there was a sharp decline in the earnings of the "Spider-man" films over the course of it's 3 movies, the "Batman" reboot saw a massive increase from part 1 to part 2 ($205,343,774 to $533,345,358). Experts in the matter have speculated that TDKR will easily break $600 Million as long as it manages to achieve a $200 million opening weekend ("Avengers" had a $207,438,708 weekend while "TDK" made $158,411,483 on its opening weekend)
- The best opening for a "Spider-man" movie was "Spider-man 3" which made $151,116,516. Very similar numbers to those of TDK on significantly less screens. (4,252 vs 4,366).
After the third "Spider-man" movie, people noticeably started to lose interest in the franchise and Sony decided to kill the 4th movie which would be directed by Sam Raimi and reboot the series after just 8 years. They put Marc Webb on the director's chair and decided to go in a different direction, shooting for a darker, grittier film which would explore the origins of Peter Parker and other details that were unexplored by Raimi's films.
I was honestly surprised they would go for such a low-profile director as Webb has only one film to his name (500 Days of Summer) which made $32 million, definitely not bad for the type of film that it was but I would've preferred a more experienced director. On the other hand we've got Chris Nolan, whose films are truly box-office behemoths as shown here:
If we compare the average made on each movie by franchise we will find that the average "Batman" movie makes $240,677,666 (Lowest earner was "Batman & Robin", while the highest earner so far is "The Dark Knight") while the average Spider-man movie makes a much higher $371,274,556.
Based on this, I would assume that while I fully expect "The Amazing Spider-man" to break the $300 Million line on it's theater run, I do not think it can catch up to the anticipation that TDKR has created. the well known event-predicting website InTrade believes there's only a 20% chance that Spider-man will get more than $90 million on it's opening weekend. While they believe that TDKR has a 92% chance of breaking $175 on its opening weekend and that it has a 42% chance of breaking the all-time opening weekend box-office record.
"The Amazing Spider-man" features Andrew Garfield and Emma Stone and opens on July 3rd. "The Dark Knight Rises" features Christian Bale, Michael Caine and Anne Hathaway and opens on July 20th.